Email: Password:
Forgot Password

News Archive

Back to List Back to list
Previous Article Next Article

Average cyclone season predicted

16 Nov 2016

According to the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), the region can expect eight to 10 tropical cyclones this season, compared with 18 last season.

 

The 2016-17 season, which runs from November to April, is predicted to be average with an elevated risk for Tonga, Papua New Guinea, Niue and the Solomon Islands. Reduced risk is expected for Tuvalu.

According to the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), the region can expect eight to 10 tropical cyclones this season, compared with 18 last season.

For the upcoming season, at least six storms are anticipated to reach Category 3 or greater, with four of those possibly reaching Category 4 strength or above (with wind speeds of at least 159kmh). Category 5 strength storms (winds greater than 196kmh) are also known to occur during seasons like the current one.

On average, New Zealand experiences at least one ex-tropical cyclone passing within 550km of the country every year. For the coming TC season, the risk for New Zealand is near normal. If an ex-tropical cyclone comes close to the country, the current background climate conditions suggest it has a greater probability of passing east of Auckland and the North Island. Significant rainfall, damaging winds and coastal impacts can occur leading up to and during these episodic events.

NIWA says the Tropical Cyclones this season will be more linear than last season, so instead of weaving around the Pacific in the manner of Tropical Cyclone Winston, they will probably head across or down to the south.

Previous Article Next Article

 

Professional IQ

Professional IQ College

Workshops, Online courses, webinars and Qualifications. For upcoming events         click here


Latest Papers:

Closing the Gap - Insuring your business against evolving cyber threats

iNavigator iNavigator Media Center
Provides access to a wide range of industry related media resources


Covernote Cover Note
IBANZ quarterly magazine for the latest on the intermediated insurance market.


Gary's Blog Gary's Blog
Comment on current issues.




© Copyright IBANZ, all rights reserved. Private information collected for this website is governed by our Privacy Policy. Read our Terms & Conditions
Powered by streamSWEET CMS